Traction vs Noise: Why 20K Signups Mean Nothing Without User Engagement

Jess from Founders Edge and Caroline from Rogue Women's Fund reveal what separates real traction from noise: revenue validation, user engagement patterns, and why 100 engaged users beat 1000 inactive ones.

Jess from Founders Edge (exited founder, MBA, CPA, and partner) and Caroline Lewis, Managing Partner at Rogue Women's Fund, cut through the noise to reveal what investors actually consider traction. With over 35 portfolio companies and seven years of investing experience, they share the brutal truth: most founder "traction" updates are just expensive distractions from what really matters.

Follow Jess: LinkedIn | Founders Edge
Follow Caroline: LinkedIn | Rogue Women's Fund

Key Results

  • Revenue is the #1 traction metric that validates business assumptions
  • 100 highly engaged users outweigh 1000 inactive signups for investors
  • Quality partnerships with measurable usage beat quantity partnerships
  • User engagement depth matters more than total user count
  • Experimentation with clear measurement frameworks impresses investors
  • Bottom-up sales approach more effective than top-down executive pitches

Key Insights from the Interview

Revenue Validates Core Business Assumptions Better Than Any Other Metric

Both investors emphasized that traction fundamentally comes down to validation of your startup's core assumptions. When customers pay you money, it proves your business can sustain itself and deliver real value.

Jess breaks down her traction hierarchy: "Revenue is always number one for me. Then it's leads in terms of the content that I'm generating and different channels to see what that converts to. From the product perspective, it's usage, events, attendance rates, and partnerships and integrations."

The key insight: if someone gives you money, your business assumptions are being validated in the market. Everything else is secondary.

"Traction is just validation your business assumptions are true. A startup is just a set of assumptions that you're trying to prove are true."

100 Engaged Users Beat 1000 Inactive Signups Every Single Time

Caroline shared a critical insight about why quality trumps quantity in user metrics. When evaluating companies, she'd rather see 100 users engaging three times per week over six months than 1000 users with unclear engagement patterns.

The reason: repeatability and scalability require understanding your ideal customer persona. A thousand different types of users doesn't create a repeatable funnel or go-to-market motion.

"I'm more interested in the thoughtfulness around the hundred than a thousand, like 100% because I want higher quality. I want to make sure that you have an idea of what you think is working and what you think you're going after for expansion."

Actionable Frameworks You Can Apply

The Revenue-First Traction Framework

The Challenge: Founders focus on vanity metrics instead of business validation.

The Solution: Structure your traction story around revenue validation:

  • Start with monthly recurring revenue growth
  • Track leads and conversion funnels to revenue
  • Measure product usage that correlates with retention
  • Document partnership integrations with measurable outcomes

How to Apply: Lead every investor update with revenue metrics, then support with leading indicators (leads, usage) that drive that revenue.

The Quality Over Quantity Engagement Test

The Challenge: Distinguishing between real user engagement and vanity metrics.

The Solution: Define success metrics specific to your product before measuring:

  • Determine ideal usage frequency for your product type
  • Track actions that indicate value delivery, not just logins
  • Measure referrals and organic growth from existing users
  • Focus on user retention over total signups

How to Apply: Before reporting engagement metrics, clearly define what "engaged user" means for your specific product and measure against that standard.

The 30-Day Focused Experimentation Method

The Challenge: Scattered efforts without clear measurement frameworks.

The Solution: Time-box experiments with specific success criteria:

  • Choose 1-3 channels to test over 30 days
  • Set clear measurement criteria before starting
  • Focus exclusively on chosen experiments during the timeframe
  • Decide whether to double down or move on based on data

How to Apply: Instead of trying multiple marketing channels simultaneously, give each approach 30 days of focused attention with predetermined success metrics.

Unlock Expert Network Access

Jess and Caroline shared battle-tested frameworks from their combined decades of operating and investing experience. Get immediate access to additional frameworks:

✅ The Bottom-Up Sales Strategy for Enterprise Products

✅ The Partnership Integration Value Measurement System

✅ The Investor-Ready Traction Storytelling Framework

✅ The Customer Persona Validation Playbook

Plus bonus content:

  • Complete 45-minute expert panel discussion
  • Real investor evaluation case studies
  • Traction measurement templates and tools
  • Direct access to investor network and feedback

Join to get exclusive access to Jess and Caroline's insights